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Where Things Stand After Iowa
January 04, 2012
by Dr. Michael Cornfield
1. No one won any delegates. The transition into the delegate awarding phase has just begun.
2. Michelle Bachmann is eliminated.
3. Rick Santorum gets to wear the underdog cloak for at least one week. He must raise money and deploy a field organization fast. This probably entails putting forth an economic populist message to go along with his social conservatism.
4. Ron Paul is the protest candidate. He's against everything the federal government does. We wait to see whether he fully embraces the role and opts for a third-party candidacy.
5. Rick Perry either goes home or heads for a last stand in South Carolina. Depends on the outcome of consultation with his wealthy backers.
6. Newt Gingrich will definitely make a last stand in South Carolina. He can hurt other candidacies. That's what he's good at.
7. Jon Huntsman's moment, such as it is, has arrived as the media spotlight swings to New Hampshire. It will be interesting but probably not important to hear what he has to say.
8. Mitt Romney is expected to win big in New Hampshire. He remains the only candidate with the resources to win the Republican presidential nomination. However:
1. No one won any delegates. The transition into the delegate awarding phase has just begun